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Tag: Rates

Demand Isn’t the AI Bottleneck Anymore. Capital Is.

Demand Isn’t the AI Bottleneck Anymore. Capital Is.

The chip index fell 6.7% on a day of strong AI demand news; Meta, Nvidia’s CEO and SK hynix all pointed to capital, not customers, as the new constraint.

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Producer Prices Ran Hot, Bonds Rallied: Who Owns the Bottleneck Wins

Producer Prices Ran Hot, Bonds Rallied: Who Owns the Bottleneck Wins

US producer prices rose 6.3% a year while consumer prices rose 3.7%: why that gap favours AI bottleneck owners, why bonds rallied anyway, and the weekly-close triggers for memory, Oracle and Treasuries.

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The Builders Reported, the Borrowers Repriced: AI Splits in Two

The Builders Reported, the Borrowers Repriced: AI Splits in Two

TSMC raised its AI demand outlook while Oracle and CoreWeave bonds hit record yields after a hot CPI: why the AI trade now splits into a demand layer and a funding layer.

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OpenAI Is Smaller Than Assumed, but AI Suppliers Are Still Sold Out

OpenAI Is Smaller Than Assumed, but AI Suppliers Are Still Sold Out

OpenAI’s revenue pace was reported at about $50 billion instead of $70 billion while Lumentum said its AI optics are sold out into 2029: why both are true, and how the portfolio ranks AI stocks by who pays the invoice.

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Record Profit, Lower Price: Why Samsung and TSMC Fell on a Beat

Record Profit, Lower Price: Why Samsung and TSMC Fell on a Beat

Samsung posted the largest quarterly operating profit in tech history and TSMC beat its own revenue guidance, yet both fell as the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% and oil jumped to 105 dollars; 18 stops fired in profit and cash rose to 23%.

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The AI Shortage Is Real. So Is the Share Supply Paying for It

The AI Shortage Is Real. So Is the Share Supply Paying for It

Three AI-infrastructure stocks fell on share sales, not weak demand, while the Nasdaq hit a record and the US 10-year yield reached 5.32%. What equity issuance means for bottleneck investing, and what changed in the portfolio.

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  • Demand Isn’t the AI Bottleneck Anymore. Capital Is.
  • The Buyer Printed a New Share, the Toolmaker Ran Out of Parts
  • Phones Shrink, Servers Surge: Two Memory Markets, One Price
  • Memory’s Second Derivative: Why Chip Stocks Fall While Profits Rise
  • Eight Red Days for Chips: Why the Credit Stress Sits at the Edge

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